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富硒农业产业链韧性时空分异及影响因素研究——以温州市为例

Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Influencing Factors of Selenium-rich Agricultural Industrial Chain Resilience: A Case Study of Wenzhou

  • 摘要: 为明晰温州市富硒农业产业链韧性发展规律,以土地质量地质调查数据与统计年鉴面板数据为基础,构建抵抗—恢复—升级三维评价指标体系,采用熵权法测度温州市富硒农业产业链韧性,并运用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数法及地理探测器等方法,探究2011—2023年温州市富硒农业产业链韧性的时空演变格局及其影响因素。结果表明:温州市富硒农业产业链韧性逐年提升,但整体仍处于低水平;抵抗、恢复与升级3个子系统发展失衡,其中恢复韧性是主要短板;韧性空间差异显著,且区域内差异为其主要来源;科技投入和农业发展水平是韧性时空分异的核心驱动因子,财政支持力度、城镇化水平与机械化程度之间的交互作用显著。研究结果可为富硒农业高质量发展提供实证支撑。

     

    Abstract: To clarify the resilience development law of the selenium-rich agricultural industrial chain in Wenzhou City, a three-dimensional indicator system including resistance, recovery and upgrading was established on the basis of geological survey data of land quality and panel data from statistical yearbooks. The resilience of the selenium-rich agricultural industrial chain in Wenzhou was evaluated using the entropy weight method. The spatiotemporal evolution pattern and influencing factors of the selenium-rich agricultural industry in Wenzhou from 2011 to 2023 were analyzed by the coupling coordination degree model, Dagum Gini coefficient method and geodetector. The results indicate that the resilience of the selenium-rich agricultural industrial chain in Wenzhou exhibits a year-by-year increasing trend but remains at a low level in general. The development of the three subsystems is unbalanced, with recovery resilience acting as the weak link. The spatial disparity of resilience is prominent, and intra-regional disparity is the primary source. Scientific and technological input and agricultural development level are the core driving forces for the spatiotemporal differentiation of resilience. Fiscal support, urbanization level and mechanization degree generate significant interactive effects. The findings can provide empirical support for the high-quality development of selenium-rich agriculture.