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基于固碳服务流的长江经济带碳补偿研究

Research on Carbon Compensation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt Based on Carbon Sequestration Service Flow

  • 摘要: 碳补偿研究对落实“双碳”目标和推动区域绿色低碳转型意义重大,但现有研究针对区域间碳流动与碳补偿关系的探讨仍显不足。本文以长江经济带为研究对象,基于净初级生产力与碳排放数据量化固碳供需关系,依据供需差额识别固碳供应区与受益区;将固碳服务视为全向流动的生态要素,采用生态辐射力模型测算区域间固碳服务流量;进而结合经济与社会发展系数构建碳补偿模型,识别各地区补偿金额及其空间分布特征。结果表明:(1)长江经济带固碳服务的供给与需求呈现空间错配格局。供应区主要分布于西部生态资源禀赋优越的四川、云南和贵州等省份;在市级尺度上,供应区主要包括甘孜藏族自治州、凉山彝族自治州、普洱市等城市。相比之下,受益区则主要集中于江苏、浙江等经济发达省份及主要城市群,尤以南京、武汉、合肥等省会城市最为突出。(2)固碳服务流主要呈自西向东梯度输送的特征,由西部供应区向中东部受益区输送的固碳服务累计流量达3.724亿t,其中甘孜藏族自治州、普洱市的输送流量居于前列,形成“西部输出—中东部受益”的空间格局,表明西部生态资源对中东部城市群的碳平衡发挥着关键作用。(3)碳补偿资金总体上由经济发达、固碳服务需求较高的地区流向生态资源富集的固碳服务供应区,其中江苏省的补偿金额(54.01亿元)最高,宿迁市、盐城市、淮安市碳补偿支付金额居于前列,分别为6.03亿元、4.84亿元、4.79亿元。研究结果可为长江经济带跨区域碳补偿机制构建及区域协同减排提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Carbon compensation research is of great significance for implementing the “dual-carbon” goals and promoting regional green and low-carbon transformation. However, present studies mostly focus on evaluating carbon sequestration supply capacity, with insufficient exploration of inter-regional flows and compensation relationships. This paper takes the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research object. Based on NPP(Net Primary Productivity) and carbon emission data, it quantifies carbon sequestration supply and demand. The supply-demand gap is used to identify supply areas and beneficiary areas. Carbon sequestration services are regarded as omnidirectional flows, and the ecological radiation model is employed to calculate inter-regional flow volumes. Subsequently, a carbon compensation model is constructed by integrating economic and social development coefficients to identify compensation amounts and spatial distribution characteristics for each region. The results show that:(1) There is a spatial mismatch between carbon sequestration service supply and demand in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Supply areas are mainly distributed in western regions rich in ecological resources, such as Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou. At the municipal level, they include cities like Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, Pu'er City, and Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture. The demand areas are mainly concentrated in economically developed regions such as Jiangsu and Zhejiang and major urban clusters, especially provincial capitals such as Nanjing, Wuhan and Hefei.(2) Carbon sequestration service flows mainly exhibit a west-to-east gradient. The cumulative carbon sequestration service flow transported from western supply areas to central and eastern beneficiary areas reaches 372.40 million tons. Among these, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture and Pu'er City rank at the forefront, forming a structure of “western output and central and eastern benefit”, indicating that western ecological resources play a key role in the carbon balance of central and eastern urban agglomerations.(3) Carbon compensation funds overall flow from economically developed and high-demand carbon sequestration service regions to ecologically resource-rich carbon sequestration service supply areas. Jiangsu Province has the highest compensation amount at 5.401 billion yuan. The carbon compensation payments in Suqian City, Yancheng City and Huai'an City ranked among the highest, amounting to 603 million yuan, 484 million yuan, and 479 million yuan respectively. The research findings can provide a scientific basis for constructing cross-regional carbon compensation mechanisms and promoting coordinated regional emission reduction in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.