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江西省双季稻安全生长期降水资源的时空变化特征

Spatial and Temporal Variation Characteristics of Precipitation Resources during Safe Growth Period of Double-cropping Rice in Jiangxi Province

  • 摘要: 基于江西省1961—2023年逐日降水资料,分析了双季稻安全生长期降水资源的空间特征和时间变化趋势;选取1961—1990年和1991—2020年2个时间段,比较分析了江西省双季稻安全生长期降水资源相对变化的空间分布特征;采用通径分析方法,明确了降水强度变化的主要影响因素。结果表明:(1)1961—2023年江西省双季稻安全生长期大部分地区降水量和降水强度呈增加趋势,江西省东北部和中部地区的增幅最大。(2)与1961—1990年相比,1991—2020年江西省双季稻安全生长期降水量平均增加了5.8%,降水日数平均减少了1.0%,降水强度平均增加了7.0%。(3)相对降水量对相对降水强度的影响远大于相对降水日数。

     

    Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data of Jiangxi Province from 1961 to 2023, the spatial characteristics and temporal variation trend of precipitation resources during the safe growth period of double-cropping rice were analyzed. The main factors of precipitation intensity change were determined by path analysis method. The results show that:(1) During the safe growth period of double-cropping rice in Jiangxi from 1961 to 2023, the precipitation and precipitation intensity in most areas showed an increasing trend, with the largest increase in the northeast and central regions of Jiangxi.(2) Compared to 1961-1990, during the safe growth period of double-cropping rice in Jiangxi from 1991 to 2020, precipitation increased by 5.8%, precipitation days decreased by 1.0%, and precipitation intensity increased by 7.0%.(3) The influence of relative precipitation on the intensity of relative precipitation is much greater than that on relative precipitation days.