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中国乡村数字治理水平的时空分异及演化特征

Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Evolutionary Characteristics of Digital Governance Level in Chinese Rural Areas

  • 摘要: 基于2018—2023年我国31个省(区、市)的面板数据,构建了乡村数字治理水平的评价指标体系,采用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数分解及冷热点分析探究了全国乡村数字治理水平的区域差异及其时空演变趋势。结果表明: 2018—2023年,中国乡村数字治理水平整体呈上升趋势,但大多地区仍处于发展初级阶段,地区异质性特征明显,出现分级化发展趋势;区域间差异是乡村数字治理总体差异的主要来源;中国乡村数字治理水平空间分布格局呈现出“热点集聚强化、次热梯度分化、冷点空间锁定”的特征。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2018 to 2023, this study constructs an evaluation index system for rural digital governance, and uses kernel density estimation, Dagum Gini Decomposition, and Getis-Ord Gi* analysis to examine regional differences and spatiotemporal trends in rural digital governance levels. The results show that from 2018 to 2023, the level of digital governance in rural China has shown an upward trend, but most provinces are still at the early stages of development, with obvious regional heterogeneity and a trend towards hierarchical development. Regional differences are the main source of overall differences in rural digital governance. The spatial distribution pattern of rural digital governance presents differences in the characteristics of“hotspot aggregation strengthening, secondary hotspot gradient differentiation, and cold spot spatial locking”.