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基于改进FAHP-Entropy赋权法的耕地破碎化时空分析——以成都市新津区为例

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Cultivated Land Fragmentation Based on Improved FAHP-Entropy Weighting Method: A Case Study of Xinjin District, Chengdu City

  • 摘要: 为了解耕地破碎化时空变化格局并划分整治区域,从规模、形状、分布维度出发,采用改进FAHP-Entropy赋权法分析了耕地破碎化时空分异情况,并结合热点分析确定整治分区。结果表明:(1)耕地动态变化上,研究时段区域内耕地斑块数量呈下降趋势,耕地规模先减后增,减少耕地呈现向西南方向聚集的态势。(2)县域尺度耕地破碎化时空变化上,研究时段区域内耕地景观破碎化指数整体呈下降趋势,规模、形状、分布3类破碎化指数均呈减少趋势,规模破碎化指数对耕地景观破碎化指数的影响占主导地位。(3)乡镇(街道)尺度耕地破碎化时空变化上,各乡镇(街道)耕地景观破碎化时空变化存在差异,但整体形成“东北部上升、其余地区下降”的分布格局。从分维属性看,规模、形状、分布破碎化高值和低值区乡镇(街道)数量减少,而中值区乡镇(街道)数量增加,整体呈现更加均衡的趋势。(4)2023年变更的耕地景观破碎化热点分析结果呈现出由东向西递减的变化趋势,且具有较强的空间关联性和明显的地域特征,并划分出Ⅰ区(热点区域)、Ⅱ区(不显著区域)、Ⅲ区(冷点区域)3个整治区域。

     

    Abstract: In order to understand the spatiotemporal change pattern of cultivated land fragmentation and delineate the remediation areas, this study analyzed the spatial and temporal differentiation of cultivated land fragmentation by the improved FAHP-Entropy weighting method from the dimensions of scale, shape, and distribution, and determined the remediation zoning combined with hot spot analysis. The results showed that: (1) In terms of the dynamic change of cultivated land, the number of cultivated land patches during the study period showed a downward trend. The scale of cultivated land decreased first and then increased, and the decreasing cultivated land showed a state of agglomeration to the southwest. (2) In terms of the temporal and spatial variation of cultivated land fragmentation at the county scale, the landscape fragmentation index of cultivated land during the study period showed an overall downward trend. The fragmentation indices of scale, shape and distribution all showed a decreasing trend, and the impact of scale fragmentation index on landscape fragmentation index was dominant. (3) In terms of the temporal and spatial variation of cultivated land fragmentation at the township scale, there were differences among different towns, but the overall distribution pattern showed an upward trend in the northeast and a downward trend in other areas. From different dimensions, the number of towns with high and low values of the scale, shape and distribution fragmentation has decreased, while the median number of towns has increased. Overall, it showed a more balanced trend. (4) The hot spot analysis results of cultivated land landscape fragmentation of the land change survey in 2023 showed a decreasing trend from east to west, and had strong spatial correlation and obvious regional characteristics. They were finally divided into three remediation areas: zone Ⅰ (hot spot area), zoneⅡ (insignificant area) and zone Ⅲ (cold spot area).