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数字经济发展对中国城乡收入差距的影响——基于数字普惠金融调节效应的视角

Impact of Digital Economy Development on Urban-rural Income Gap in China Based on Perspective of Moderating Effect of Digital Inclusive Finance

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年我国31个省份的面板数据,采用熵值法和线性加权法构建数字经济发展指标,运用动态非线性面板模型和调节效应模型分析了数字经济发展水平对城乡收入差距的影响及其机制。结果表明:(1)整体而言,当前阶段的数字经济发展正在加剧城乡收入差距。非线性效应分析表明,数字经济发展与城乡收入差距之间呈现倒U型关系,在达到拐点之前,数字经济发展加剧了收入不平等,一旦越过拐点,数字经济发展则有助于缩小城乡收入差距。(2)数字经济发展对城乡收入差距的影响表现出异质性,一是数字经济发展不同维度对城乡收入差距的影响差异较大,其中数字工业化呈现倒U型关系;二是区域间存在差异性,主要表现为东部地区的数字经济拐点高于其他地区。(3)数字普惠金融的发展对城乡收入差距的倒U型关系起到一定的调节作用,使得拐点的到达提前。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022, the digital economic development index is constructed using the entropy method and linear weighting. And the dynamic nonlinear panel model and moderation effect model are employed to analyze the impact of digital economic development on the urban-rural income gap and its mechanisms. The results show that: (1) Overall, the development of the digital economy at the current stage is exacerbating the income gap between urban and rural areas. Nonlinear effect analysis indicates that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between digital economic development and the urban-rural income gap. Before reaching the turning point, the development of the digital economy has exacerbated income inequality. Once the turning point is crossed, the development of the digital economy helps to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas. (2) The impact of digital economic development on the urban-rural income gap shows heterogeneity. First, the impact of different dimensions of digital economic development on the urban-rural income gap varies greatly, among which digital industrialization presents an inverted U-shaped relationship. Second, there are differences among regions, and the turning point of the digital economy in the eastern region is higher than that in other regions. (3) The digital inclusive finance acts as a moderator in the inverted U-shaped relationship, shifting the turning point leftward.