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农业科技创新对农业高质量发展的影响研究——基于空间杜宾模型

Study on Impact of Agricultural Scientific and Technological Innovation on Agricultural High-quality Development Based on Spatial Durbin Model

  • 摘要: 基于2012—2021年30个省域的面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型实证分析了农业科技创新对农业高质量发展的直接效应和空间溢出效应,结果显示:从全国层面来看,农业科技创新对农业高质量发展不仅在本区域内具有显著的正向促进的直接效应,而且会对邻近区域的农业高质量发展产生显著的空间溢出效应,空间溢出效应远大于直接效应。从区域层面来看,农业科技创新对农业高质量发展的影响具有区域异质性,其中,西部地区的空间溢出效应占总效应的比例最高,东部地区次之,中部地区最低。基于此,提出了因地制宜地继续提升农业科技创新水平,充分利用农业科技创新对农业高质量发展的空间溢出效应来促进农业科技创新先进地区辐射带动较落后地区,以此促进科技创新推动农业高质量发展的作用,加快建设农业强国的步伐。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2012 to 2021, this paper adopts the spatial Durbin model to empirically analyze the direct effects and spatial spillover effects of agricultural scientific and technological innovation on high-quality agricultural development. The results show that from the national level, agricultural scientific and technological innovation not only has a significant direct effect on the positive promotion of high-quality agricultural development in the region, but also has a significant spatial spillover effect on the high-quality agricultural development in neighboring regions, and the spatial spillover effect is much larger than the direct effect. From the regional perspective, the impact of agricultural scientific and technological innovation on high-quality agricultural development has regional heterogeneity, and the proportion of spatial spillover effect in the total effect is the highest in the west, the second in the east, and the lowest in the central region. Based on this, this paper proposes to continue to improve the level of agricultural scientific and technological innovation according to local conditions, make full use of the spatial spillover effect of agricultural scientific and technological innovation on high-quality agricultural development, promote advanced areas of agricultural science and technology innovation to radiate to less developed areas, promote scientific and technological innovation to promote high-quality agricultural development, and accelerate the construction of an agricultural power.