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水资源“农转非”对农业生态效率的影响研究

Effect of Water Resource Reallocation from Agriculture to Non-Agriculture on Agricultural Ecological Efficiency

  • 摘要: 为实现水资源高效利用与农业绿色发展,通过构建考虑非期望产出的动态SBM-DEA模型,对2011—2022年我国30个省(区、市)及东、中、西部地区的农业生态效率进行了测算,并采用固定效应模型与调节效应模型,探究了水资源“农转非”对农业生态效率的影响机制,以及农业用水效率和种植结构“趋粮化”在其影响过程中的调节作用。结果表明:(1)2011—2022年我国农业生态效率整体呈波动上升的趋势,区域间农业生态效率存在显著差异,东部地区的农业生态效率显著高于中、西部地区。(2)水资源“农转非”对农业生态效率有显著的负向影响,农业用水效率的提高弱化了水资源“农转非”对农业生态效率的负向作用,农业种植结构“趋粮化”强化了水资源“农转非”对农业生态效率的负向作用。基于此,提出了控制水资源“农转非”规模,规范转移程序;优化水资源利用效率,推广节水技术;在保障粮食安全的基础上优化种植结构;加强西部地区农业生态保护与发展等政策建议,以提高整体农业生态效率。

     

    Abstract: In order to achieve efficient water use and promote green agricultural development. This study utilizes a dynamic SBM-DEA model, which accounts for undesirable outputs, to measure the agricultural ecological efficiency of 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and eastern, central and western regions in China during 2011~2022, and employs fixed-effect and moderating effect models to explore the impact of water resource reallocation from agriculture to non-agriculture on agricultural ecological efficiency, as well as the moderating roles of agricultural water use efficiency and the trend of grainoriented crop planting. The results show that: (1) From 2011 to 2022, China’s agricultural ecological efficiency exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with significant regional disparities, and eastern regions demonstrated higher efficiency compared to central and western areas. (2) Water resource reallocation from agriculture to non-agriculture has a significant negative impact on agricultural ecological efficiency. The improvements in agricultural water use efficiency mitigate this adverse effect, and the trend toward grain-oriented planting intensifies the negative impact of water resource reallocation on ecological efficiency. Based on this, it is proposed to control the scale of resource reallocation, enhance the regulation of water reallocation, optimize water resource utilization efficiency, promote water-saving technology, optimize the planting structure on the basis of ensuring food security, and strengthen agricultural ecological protection and development in the western region, in order to improve the overall agricultural ecological efficiency.