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山西省油料增产格局及其贡献因素研究

Pattern and Contributing Factors of Yield Increase of Oilseeds in Shanxi Povince

  • 摘要: 油料作为粮油安全的重要组成部分,在山西省的粮油生产中也起到了积极的贡献。山西省油料在2015—2022年间实现了“七连丰”,通过深入探究其增产格局及背后成因,有助于为山西省油料生产的可持续发展、提升油料作物的产量和品质、优化农业结构、保障粮油安全提供思路。运用对数平均迪氏分解模型(LMDI)和GIS技术,从省域和市域2个角度出发,量化分析了2015—2022年山西省油料作物(包括大豆、油菜籽、向日葵)的增产状况、作物结构变化、增产的地域格局、贡献因素。结果表明:在省、市域层面,单产提升对总产量增长的贡献率高于种植面积扩大的贡献率;大豆、油菜籽、向日葵是山西省油料“七连丰”的主导因素,其中以油菜籽的增幅最显著,但大豆增产的贡献率和增产量最高,是“七连丰”的主要驱动力;大豆和向日葵的增产主要源于单产的提升,而油菜籽则源于种植面积的扩大和单产水平的提高;晋北地区总体上对于油料增产的贡献最显著,均达到超速增产水平,已成为山西油料增产的主力军。综上,高效利用土地资源、不断提高油料的单产,从而实现油料作物的可持续增产。

     

    Abstract: As an important part of grain and oil security, oilseed production has also played a positive contribution in the grain and oilseed production in Shanxi Province. The oilseed crops in Shanxi Province have achieved“seven consecutive bumper harvests” from 2015 to 2022. By exploring the pattern of increasing production and the underlying causes, it is helpful for the sustainable development of oilseed crops in Shanxi Province, improving the yield and quality of oilseed crops, optimizing the agricultural structure and ensuring the safety of grain and oil. Based on the Logarithmic mean weigh division index method (LMDI) model and GIS technology, this paper quantitatively analyzed the yield increase of oilseed crops (including soybean, rapeseed and sunflower), the change of crop structure, the regional pattern of yield increase and the contributing factors from 2015 to 2022 in Shanxi Province from the provincial and municipal perspectives. The results showed that at the provincial and municipal levels, the contribution of yield increase to total output growth was higher than that of planting area expansion; soybean, rapeseed and sunflower were the leading factors for the“seven consecutive bumper harvests” of oilseed crops in Shanxi Province, among which rapeseed had the most significant increase, but soybean had the highest contribution rate and yield increase, which were the main driving forces; The yield increase of soybean and sunflower mainly comes from the increase of yield per unit area, while rapeseed mainly comes from the expansion of planting area and the increase of yield per unit area; the contribution of northern Shanxi to the yield increase of oilseed is the most significant in general, reaching the level of overspeed yield increase, which is the main force of oilseed production increase in Shanxi. To sum up, we should make efficient use of land resources, continuously improve the yield level, and realize the sustainable increase of oil production.