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数字基础设施对农民增收的影响研究

Impact of Digital Infrastructure on Farmers’ Income Growth

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年中国30个省(区、市)的面板数据,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型与门槛效应模型实证分析了数字基础设施对农民收入增长的影响及其作用机制。结果表明:数字基础设施显著促进了农民收入增长,且这种促进作用具有长期效应;异质性分析表明,在金融发展水平与人力资本水平较高地区,数字基础设施对农民收入增长的促进作用更加显著;机制分析表明,数字基础设施通过扩大非农就业规模与提高农民创业活跃度来促进农民收入增长;门槛分析表明,数字基础设施对农民收入增长的影响具有非线性特征。

     

    Abstract: Based on panel data from 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2013 to 2022,this study empirically analyzes the impact of digital infrastructure on farmers’ income growth and its mechanism by fixed-effect model, mediation-effect model and threshold-effect model. The results show that digital infrastructure significantly promotes farmers’ income growth, and this promotion exhibits long-term effects. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the promotional effect of digital infrastructure on farmers’ income growth is more pronounced in the regions with higher levels of financial development and human capital. Mechanism analysis shows that digital infrastructure facilitates farmers’ income growth by expanding the scale of non-agricultural employment and enhancing farmers’ entrepreneurial activity. Threshold analysis suggests that the impact of digital infrastructure on farmers’ income growth is nonlinear.