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辽宁省玉米、大豆生长季降水与需水的耦合度分析

Analysis of Coupling Degree between Precipitation and Water Utilization during Growing Season of Maize and Soybean in Liaoning Province

  • 摘要: 为了洞悉辽宁省玉米、大豆生长季的水分平衡态势,以1963—2022年辽宁省的日气象数据及作物系数为基础,运用SIMETAW模型与气候诊断分析方法对辽宁省玉米、大豆生长季的降水和水分需求规律以及水分满足状况进行了分析,揭示了区域气候变化给玉米、大豆水分需求带来的影响,并对辽宁省玉米、大豆生长季有效降水和水分需求的时空演变展开了研究。结果表明:辽宁省作物全生育期有效降水量为481.6mm,其中西部为347.4 mm,中部和南部是514.9 mm,东部为636.8 mm。玉米、大豆全生育期的年均需水量分别为521.0、517.0 mm,未呈现显著的下降趋势。玉米、大豆全生育期降水与需水的耦合度分别为0.822、0.815,即降水能够满足80.0%以上的水分需求,平均缺水量为17.8%~18.5%。耦合度的最大值出现在辽宁省东部,其次是辽宁省中部和南部,最小值则出现在辽宁省西部。辽宁省西部地区玉米、大豆耦合度(λ)≥0.8的保证率仅为28.3%、21.5%。耦合度的最高值出现在生长中期,其次是快速生长期,最低值出现在生长初期和成熟期。近年来,玉米生长初期降水与需水的耦合度呈现出显著的上升态势。辽宁省玉米、大豆生长初期的降水与需水的耦合度相对较低,因此有必要关注春季干旱的出现,特别是辽宁省西部水资源短缺的情形。

     

    Abstract: To comprehend the water balance condition of corn and soybean crops during the growth period in Liaoning Province, based on the daily meteorological data and crop coefficients from 1963 to 2022 in Liaoning Province, the SIMETAW model and the climate diagnostic analysis approach were used to analyze the precipitation and water demand patterns as well as the water supply circumstances of corn and soybean crops during the growth period in Liaoning Province, uncover the influence of regional climate change on the water requirements of corn and soybean crops, and investigate the spatial and temporal evolution of effective precipitation and water demand for corn and soybean crops in Liaoning Province. The results show that the effective precipitation for crops throughout the growth period in Liaoning Province amounts to 481.6 mm, among which the western region is 347.4 mm, the central and southern regions are 514.9 mm, and the eastern region is 636.8 mm. The average water demand for corn and soybean crops throughout the growth period is 521.0 mm and 517.0 mm respectively. There is no conspicuous downward trend. The coupling degree between precipitation and water demand for corn and soybean crops throughout the growth period is 0.822 and 0.815 respectively, signifying that precipitation can fulfill more than 80% of the water demand, with an average deficit of 17.8%~18.5%. The maximum coupling degree occurs in the eastern region of Liaoning Province, followed by the central and southern regions, and the minimum value emerges in the western region of Liaoning Province. The guarantee rate of the coupling degree λ>0.8 for corn and soybean crops in the western region of Liaoning Province is merely 28.3% and 21.5% respectively.The highest value of the coupling degree appears in the middle growth stage, followed by the rapid growth stage, and the lowest value emerges in the early growth stage and maturity stage. In recent years, the coupling degree of precipitation and water demand in the early growth stage of corn has demonstrated a notable upward tendency. The coupling degree between precipitation and water demand in the early growth stage of corn and soybean in Liaoning Province is relatively low. Thus, it is essential to pay attention to the occurrence of spring drought, particularly the water shortage situation in western Liaoning Province.